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Plant litter decomposition is a primary control on carbon fluxes in terrestrial ecosystems around the world. Individually, the key mediators of decomposition rates—litter traits, temperature, and moisture—are relatively well understood. However, our understanding of how combined drivers influence decomposition remains limited. To test how multiple, interactive climate change factors directly alter decomposition rates and indirectly influence leaf litter decomposition rates by altering substrate chemistry, we conducted two decomposition experiments within the Boreal Forest Warming at an Ecotone in Danger (B4WarmED) study in Minnesota, USA. Our first experiment decomposed ambient-grown leaf litter from eight common tree species under a factorial combination of warming and rainfall reduction treatments. We found that the direct effects of combined warming and rainfall reduction increased litter half-life by 42% ± 11% in comparison to ambient plots with no warming or rainfall reduction. In contrast, only rainfall reduction influenced litter mean residence time, which increased by 37% ± 18% in comparison to ambient rainfall plots. Our second experiment decomposed ambient- and warm-grown leaf litter from the same eight species under ambient and warmed conditions. We found that warming slowed decomposition of both litter types, but warm-grown litter had a 22% ± 6.5% shorter half-life than ambient-grown leaf tissue under ambient environmental conditions. Warm grown litter half-life then increased by 36% ± 11% with warmed environmental conditions. Our results highlight that climate change could slow carbon and nutrient cycling in systems where moisture becomes a limiting factor. In addition, our study demonstrates that there may be an overlooked relationship between the growth conditions of plants and the temperature of decomposition. This nuanced understanding of decomposition can then support carbon cycling models and more effective nature-based climate mitigation efforts. 

Tree plantings have the potential to increase species diversity and sequester carbon, yet planting failure and early mortality pose significant barriers to their success. Biodiversity‐ecosystem function theory suggests that diverse tree plantings could improve survival outcomes through either the portfolio or facilitation effect, yet there remain few tests of this hypothesis. Here, we use a large‐scale tree‐diversity experiment (BiodiversiTREE), with monitoring of nearly 8,000 individual trees to test whether (1) tree species diversity increases survival rates, (2) tree diversity stabilizes the risk of planting failure, and/or (3) diversity effects are important relative to other common drivers of seedling mortality (e.g. herbivory and soil moisture). We found that only species identity significantly impacted the likelihood of survival, not plant functional diversity nor plot species richness nor phylogenetic diversity. There were minor effects of elevation and soil moisture on survival, but both explained a very small amount of variation in the data (r²_marg ≤ 0.011). Higher tree diversity did, however, strongly reduce variation in survival across plots, with nearly 2‐fold higher coefficients of variation in monocultures (30.4%, 28.4–32.6% 95% bootstrapped confidence interval) compared to 4‐ (16.3%, 13.8–18.7%) and 12‐species plots (12.8%, 10.8–14.7%). Ultimately, our results suggest that employing diverse species can lower the risk of planting failure (i.e. the portfolio effect), but that species selection still plays a large role in early establishment.